Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.024474 0.026567 0.028755 0.031214 0.033903 0.036756 0.040012
2025-08-03 0.020818 0.023802 0.027101 0.031023 0.035567 0.040677 0.046870
2025-08-10 0.018724 0.022250 0.026311 0.031348 0.037446 0.044614 0.053712
2025-08-17 0.016822 0.020615 0.025131 0.030926 0.038196 0.047057 0.058736
2025-08-24 0.015270 0.019208 0.024031 0.030403 0.038646 0.049011 0.063127
2025-08-31 0.014105 0.018158 0.023247 0.030148 0.039323 0.051189 0.067838
2025-09-07 0.013128 0.017257 0.022561 0.029923 0.039960 0.053277 0.072478
2025-09-14 0.012315 0.016502 0.021992 0.029782 0.040649 0.055417 0.077259
2025-09-21 0.011527 0.015719 0.021324 0.029436 0.040997 0.057063 0.081392
2025-09-28 0.010972 0.015216 0.020993 0.029518 0.041919 0.059525 0.086804
2025-10-05 0.010388 0.014632 0.020508 0.029335 0.042425 0.061385 0.091405
2025-10-12 0.009949 0.014225 0.020243 0.029441 0.043338 0.063864 0.097053
2025-10-19 0.009534 0.013850 0.020032 0.029655 0.044489 0.066858 0.103860
2025-10-26 0.009026 0.013312 0.019554 0.029445 0.044986 0.068900 0.109333
2025-11-02 0.008696 0.013021 0.019423 0.029748 0.046283 0.072247 0.117124
2025-11-09 0.008217 0.012472 0.018867 0.029348 0.046429 0.073750 0.121941
2025-11-16 0.007754 0.011923 0.018278 0.028854 0.046379 0.074912 0.126229
2025-11-23 0.007386 0.011502 0.017865 0.028613 0.046719 0.076719 0.131722
2025-11-30 0.007052 0.011116 0.017485 0.028401 0.047084 0.078571 0.137397
2025-12-07 0.006757 0.010780 0.017166 0.028267 0.047566 0.080636 0.143570
2025-12-14 0.006444 0.010396 0.016748 0.027940 0.047686 0.082065 0.148654
2025-12-21 0.006231 0.010167 0.016574 0.028017 0.048514 0.084782 0.156312
2025-12-28 0.005983 0.009868 0.016267 0.027844 0.048879 0.086675 0.162511